If your labor assumptions are still based on last year, your menu math is probably late. In 2026, wage floors are not a side note. They are a core pricing input.
Quick Summary
- The U.S. Department of Labor state wage page is updated to January 1, 2026.
- Federal minimum wage remains $7.25, but many states and DC are far above that level.
- Convert wage change into a per-order recovery number before touching menu prices.
- Use selective repricing by item role, not blanket percentage increases.
2026 Wage Snapshot (Why One Formula Does Not Fit All)
Examples listed on the DOL state wage page:
- District of Columbia: $17.95/hour
- Washington: $16.66/hour
- California: $16.50/hour
- New York: $17.00 (NYC/Nassau/Suffolk/Westchester), $16.00 (remainder)
- Federal baseline: $7.25/hour
The gap is too large for “national average” labor assumptions.
Step 1) Convert Wage Change to Weekly Dollar Impact
Use this:
weeklyWageDelta = hourlyIncrease x weeklyPaidHours
Example:
- Hourly increase: $1.25
- Weekly paid hours: 420
weeklyWageDelta = 1.25 x 420 = $525.00
Step 2) Add Employer On-Costs for Planning
For quick planning, include payroll tax layers:
- Employer FICA: 7.65%
- FUTA: statutory 6.0%, typically 0.6% with full credit on the first wage base
Simple planning add-on:
loadedWeeklyDelta = weeklyWageDelta x (1 + 0.0765 + 0.006)
Using the same example:
loadedWeeklyDelta = 525 x 1.0825 = $568.31
Step 3) Turn It Into a Per-Order Recovery Number
requiredRecoveryPerOrder = loadedWeeklyDelta / weeklyOrders
If weekly orders are 1,100:
$568.31 / 1,100 = $0.52 per order
If you recover 70% by pricing and 30% by labor/productivity improvements:
priceRecoveryPerOrder = 0.52 x 0.70 = $0.36
This is a cleaner target than “raise prices 5% and hope.”
Where to Raise First (Without Blunt Increases)
- Raise premium add-ons first (extra protein, specialty toppings, bundle upgrades).
- Move low-visibility price points (items with lower sensitivity).
- Keep one or two known traffic items stable to preserve perceived value.
- Re-check delivery channel prices separately from dine-in/pickup.
The goal is controlled recovery, not uniform sticker shock.
4-Week Rollout Checklist
- Rebuild each store’s labor baseline using the applicable local wage.
- Compute per-order recovery target.
- Apply selective repricing by item role.
- Align POS, online ordering, and third-party menus on one effective date.
- Give staff one consistent explanation script.
- Track labor %, average check, and order count weekly.
- Adjust again after week 2 and week 4 if recovery is short.
Script You Can Use at the Counter
We updated a few prices this week to keep staffing levels and product quality consistent.
If you want, I can show you the best-value combo options.
Short and calm usually works better than long justifications.
Related Guides
- US Restaurant Labor Cost Calculator
- US Menu Pricing Calculator
- US Menu Price Increase Notice Template (2026)
- US Restaurant Pricing Audit Checklist
Sources (checked on 2026-02-14)
- U.S. Department of Labor - Minimum Wage Laws in the States
- IRS Publication 15 (Employer’s Tax Guide)
- IRS Topic No. 756 (FUTA rate and wage base reference)
- NFIB: Small Business Optimism Increases for Second Consecutive Month (Jan 2026 release)
- BLS CPI News Release (January 2026)
KitchenCost helps multi-location operators apply wage-driven repricing by recipe and channel in one workflow.