Crossing the VAT line is not just an accounting event. For small cafes and restaurants, it is usually a pricing and cash-flow event on the same week.
If you wait for quarter-end to adjust, the first shock already happened.
Quick Take
- GOV.UK threshold: VAT registration is required when taxable turnover is more than GBP 90,000.
- Businesses below that level can still register voluntarily.
- UK CPI was 3.0% in December 2025, with restaurants and hotels at 3.8% (ONS, released 15 January 2026).
- BCC’s January 2026 survey: 63% cite tax as a concern, 52% expect price increases.
This is why VAT-threshold planning is now a margin-control task, not just compliance admin.
The Core Weekly Formula
Weekly net VAT exposure = Output VAT - Input VAT
Weekly VAT reserve transfer = max(0, Weekly net VAT exposure)
Keep this reserve outside day-to-day operating spend.
Worked Example (Cafe, Week Snapshot)
Assumptions:
- VATable sales (gross): GBP 12,000
- Output VAT included in sales: GBP 2,000
- Input VAT on eligible purchases: GBP 540
Weekly net VAT exposure = 2,000 - 540 = GBP 1,460
If this GBP 1,460 is treated as operating cash, margin looks better than reality.
What to Reprice First
Start with items where these three overlap:
- low contribution before VAT effect
- high labour minutes
- weak add-on capture
Protect your clear value anchors, but do not protect loss-making anchors indefinitely.
Threshold-Crossing Checklist (14 Days)
- Confirm threshold status and registration timing on GOV.UK rules
- Rebuild top 20 item contribution with VAT-aware assumptions
- Set weekly VAT reserve transfer rule
- Update POS tax settings and invoice logic
- Align menu board, online menu, and delivery channels
- Brief FOH script: short, factual, non-defensive
FOH Script (Simple)
“We’ve updated selected prices to reflect current operating and tax costs. Core staples are still positioned for value.”
Short clarity beats long apology.
Common Mistakes
- Treating threshold crossing as bookkeeping only
- Absorbing VAT impact across all menu items without triage
- Mixing VAT reserve and supplier-payment cash
- Updating POS later than menu communication
Related Guides
- UK Cafe Cash Runway Checklist (2026)
- UK Small Restaurant Cash Flow Template (2026)
- UK National Living Wage Menu Pricing Guide (2026)
KitchenCost helps owner-operators connect recipe-level contribution with weekly cash controls before VAT timing turns into a margin surprise.