Canadian operators are dealing with a specific 2026 reality: restaurant prices are moving faster than grocery prices, while tax rules differ by province. A clean pricing system has to handle both at once.
This guide gives you a practical workflow for independent restaurants and small groups operating in one or multiple provinces.
Quick takeaways
- Build item targets from pre-tax economics first.
- Apply province tax rules after pricing decisions, not before.
- Reprice top sellers monthly and review channel contribution separately.
- Launch updates with one effective date per location to avoid checkout friction.
Why tighter reviews matter in Canada right now
Statistics Canada (released January 19, 2026) reported for December 2025:
- Food purchased from restaurants: +8.5% year over year
- Food purchased from stores: +5.0% year over year
- All-items CPI: +2.4% year over year
That gap matters operationally. The same release notes that year-over-year CPI acceleration was influenced by the temporary GST/HST break base effect, so headline CPI and restaurant pricing pressure can move differently in the same month. Guests often anchor on headline inflation, while restaurants are managing a category running materially hotter. When repricing is delayed, the pressure usually appears as weaker gross profit dollars even if traffic stays stable.
Core pricing math (Canada)
Start with pre-tax menu economics:
Target pre-tax menu price = Plate cost / Target food cost %
Then apply location-specific tax at checkout:
Guest final price = Pre-tax menu price x (1 + local tax rate)
This keeps operational control (cost and margin) separate from tax presentation.
Province-level example: same item, different final ticket
Assume a sandwich combo has:
- Plate cost: C$4.80
- Target food cost: 30%
Pre-tax menu price = 4.80 / 0.30 = C$16.00
Now compare final ticket by province:
- Ontario (13% HST): C$16.00 x 1.13 = C$18.08
- Alberta (5% GST): C$16.00 x 1.05 = C$16.80
- Nova Scotia (14% HST): C$16.00 x 1.14 = C$18.24
The base menu logic stays the same, but customer-facing totals differ by province. That is why tax-aware rollout checks are mandatory.
Local rollout example: Toronto lunch spot vs Calgary pickup-heavy store
Two stores can use the same pre-tax target and still need different execution:
- Toronto CBD lunch spot (higher dine-in share): keep core lunch anchor stable, recover margin through sides and drinks.
- Calgary pickup-heavy shop: prioritise packaging and payment-cost pass-through, then validate pickup conversion weekly.
Both stores can keep the same pre-tax food-cost target. What changes is the channel mix and the tax-inclusive customer total guests actually see at checkout.
Channel decisions that protect margin
Dine-in
- Review top lunch and dinner anchors first.
- Keep value perception stable by prioritising selective item updates over blanket increases.
Pickup
- Include packaging and payment costs in item-level checks.
- Align website and POS prices on the same effective date.
Delivery
- Add platform fee and remake risk to contribution math.
- Consider delivery-specific pricing if contribution falls below threshold.
30-minute monthly review checklist
- Export last 30 days for top 15 items by revenue.
- Refresh costs for key ingredients and packaging.
- Recompute food cost % and gross contribution per channel.
- Flag items 3+ points above target.
- Validate tax setup for each location before go-live.
- Review average check and gross profit dollars on day 7 and day 14.
Customer notice template
“Starting [Month Day, Year], selected menu prices will be updated to maintain ingredient quality and service consistency.”
Keep language short and location-specific when publishing across provinces.
Related guides
- Canada Menu Pricing Calculator
- Canada Menu Price Rounding Guide
- Canada Food Cost Calculator
- Canada Restaurant Labour Cost Calculator
- Canada GST/HST Pricing Guide
- Canada Delivery App Pricing Guide
- Food Cost Ratio Guide
- Prime Cost Guide
Sources (checked on 2026-02-12)
- Statistics Canada - Consumer Price Index, December 2025 (released 2026-01-19)
- CRA - Charge and collect the tax (GST/HST rates by province)
KitchenCost helps you keep pre-tax margin targets and province-specific tax execution aligned without rebuilding your pricing sheet every month.